BTC Can Fall to Zero, Vanguard Says

Global chief economist at Vanguard says that cryptocurrency can not have viable applications
22 May 2018   1534

Due to the lack of fundamental economic factors in the formation of the value of the cryptocurrency, the price of bitcoin will fall to zero with a high probability. This is said by the leading economist of Vanguard Joe Davis for ETF. com.

He pointed out that the cryptocurrency can not have viable applications. So, it can not be perceived as a form of money, because it is not an effective means of accumulation.

The investment case for cryptocurrencies is weak. Unlike stocks and bonds, currencies generate no cash flows such as interest payments or dividends that can explain their prices. National currencies derive their prices from the underlying economic activity of the countries that issue them. Cryptocurrency prices, on the other hand, are generally not based on economic fundamentals. To date, their prices have depended more on speculation about their eventual adoption and use. The speculation creates volatility that, ironically, undermines their value as a currency.
 

Joe Davis

Vanguard

The economist urged investors to refrain from investing in bitcoin.

As innovation quickens and competition increases, the majority of networks (and their associated cryptocurrencies) may be rendered obsolete, leaving many cryptocurrencies like tulip bulbs in 17th-century Holland—soaring to incredible heights before the speculative bubble pops. And, unlike tulips, they don’t look very nice in a vase.
 

Joe Davis

Vanguard

At the same time, Davis noted that Vanguard, which manages assets worth $ 5.1B, is already using blocking technology and is very enthusiastic about it.

BTC Futures Didn't Collapse Market in 2017, - CME

According to the managing director of CME Group, they "didn’t have that wherewithal, that ability to drive that impact"
14 November 2019   176

Tim McCourt, managing director of CME Group, has denied the widespread theory that the alleged launch of regulated bitcoin futures caused a market crash after the 2017 rally.

A lot of times, people ask us, ‘Did futures cause the price to decline from $20,000 to $3,000?’ And the answer is ‘no,’.
 

Tim McCourt

Global head of equity index and alternative investment products, CME Group

He recalled that at first the turnover of bitcoin futures on CME was 1,100 contracts, which is equivalent to 5300-5500 BTC or about $ 100 million at prices at the end of 2017.

There is no way over that period of time, given the size of the Bitcoin market, in terms of spot trading or the ability to mine Bitcoin, that futures could cause that impact. These things are governed by the law of supply and demand. We just didn’t have that wherewithal, that ability to drive that impact.
 

Tim McCourt

Global head of equity index and alternative investment products, CME Group

Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Bitcoin Futures was launched on December 18, 2017. A day earlier, the price of bitcoin reached a historic high in the region of $ 20,000, but soon plummeted.

Despite the sharp change of mood and the bear market, the volume of bitcoin futures trading on CME grew - by May of this year, the average daily turnover reached 13,600 contracts, corresponding to 68,000 BTC or $ 515 million at the exchange rate at that time.

We certainly play a role in the price discovery because people can freely express their demand to buy and sell at CME and transact with one another, but I wouldn’t necessarily say we are impacting price.
 

Tim McCourt

Global head of equity index and alternative investment products, CME Group

Among other things, a CME representative said that he is an ardent supporter of Bitcoin ETF and hopes to see such products on the market soon.

ETF providers and asset managers are our customers at CME. They use our futures products to create other ETFs, to hedge structure projects, and we’re certainly trying to enable them to do the same type of strategy on Bitcoin. We want to make sure they have the risk-management tools they need to be successful in managing their risk. We’re working with them to make sure they have what they need for trying to introduce products such as an ETF.
 

Tim McCourt

Global head of equity index and alternative investment products, CME Grou

Recently, Christopher Giancarlo, the former head of the Commodity Exchange Commodity Trading Commission (CFTC), said recently that the launch of the CME Bitcoin Futures was a targeted action by the Donald Trump administration to eliminate the bubble in the cryptocurrency market.