Right before the exit of most Bitcoin exchanges in China, ifcert.org.cn issues a report on OTC trade against CNY.
According to the survey, over 680 million yuan worth of trading are observed on 3 platforms in 2 weeks. The report disclose statistics concerning volume, etc. Surprisingly, Coincola, a HK-based OTC platform, accounts for 70% of the trading volume, overtaking Localbitcoins and Paxful. The following text translation is provided by news.8btc.com.
At present, there are 4 OTC platforms that domestic users used most frequently (all located abroad): LocalBitcoins, Paxful, CoinCola and BitcoinWorld. As the researchers note, the popularity of these platforms has increased significantly over the past year. In particular, a high level of anonymity and a wide range of payment systems make OTC trading more attractive for users.
The scale of BTC-CNY OTC is shown in Figure 1 (data from LocalBitcoin and Paxful). The OTC trade volume before February 2017 is relatively small. After the exchange banned Bitcoin withdrawal in early February, the trading volume grew exponentially. Then the volume dropped as exchange allowed withdrawal after June 2017. With the ICO ban and policy change in early September, OTC transactions once again prosper.
Fig. 1 BTC-CNY Daily Trading Volume
From the data of LocalBitcoin and Paxful, the ratio of BTC-CNY volume rose from 5% to 20% among the total volume, which is shown in Figure 2.
Fig. 2 BTC-CNY OTC trading volume
Thus, the volume of exchange trading is in opposite trending with OTC trading as shown in Figure 3. Current BTC-CNY P2P trading volume is only about 1/100 of the amount of earlier phase.
Fig. 3 BTC-CNY exchange trade volume
By analyzing the BTC-CNY transaction data of LocalBitcoins, Paxful and CoinCola in the past two weeks, the total transaction volume of the three platforms was 680 million yuan, of which the Hongkong-based CoinCola increased significantly, accounting for up to 70%. The chart below shows the comparison of the turnover of the three platforms in the past two weeks.
Fig. 4 Trading volume of OTC Platforms
Thus, the report shows that the OTC trading is growing day by day with further development of Bitcoin.